Sunday, June 8, 2008

Brown out/ Lesson in Humility


The elusive thoroughbred triple crown survives for the 31st year without a winner. Big Brown at odds of 1-4 ran up the track. My selections bottomed out. The only person I know who won the race was the proverbial novice who simply played her numbers, 4,6, and 1 (the one being Big Brown).

What occurs to me out of all the hype is a tremendous respect for horses that were able to complete the challenge, especially Affirmed and Secretariat.

As an aside, it also shows that the game itself will keep humans humble. No matter how much we want something to happen, it matters not. All the analysis, the Beyers, the tremendous margins of victory, the injury to major competition meant nothing.

The simple fact is, no horse in 31 years has been able to win all three triple crown races. That should be the starting point for all future handicapping of the prize–especially with wins in the first two legs. Talk about figure handicapping!