Saturday, November 29, 2008

Beyond the last running line

My pursuit of 'monster move' mastery has caused me to read DRF past performances more completely. Like most systems, it begins with evaluation of the last race a horse has run. By definition this race is always less than stellar. So, I have to dig deeper to justify a wager.

For instance, the last race line for Dirty Water Dog in Aqueduct's ninth race, yesterday shows he finished 10th, nearly 20 lengths behind, as an odds-on favorite. He was claimed by trainer Chad Brown off of a win, in the race before. Closer pp investigation shows these virtues:

• 'Dirty' won 3 out of seven starts, with 1 third
• He had the second best Beyer at the distance and the surface
• His odds, before yesterday, were never longer than 5-1
• Importantly, trainer Brown won 42% when he legged up jockey Lezcano

The results? Dirty paid $14, $8.7, $6 completing a $95 daily double, catching the other move horse in the race who went off at nearly 40-1, for a $388 exacta.

The move is a monster--with benefits.

Wednesday, November 26, 2008

60-1 wheel at Big A; 22-1 win at Church

So, what's to say? I've been telling anyone who will listen. Matter of fact, I'm going to stop talking. As soon as I let you know that in the eighth double at Aqueduct, today, I back-wheeled Good and Loud. Yup. It cost me $6. Horse was 60-1
I had no opinion in the eighth. That's right. Back-wheeled. Despite his obvious shortcomings, Good and Loud,was also a classic 'monster move.' As the major promoter of the system, I had no choice. Since I already was going to make a mint if he won, I bet this long-shot to place and show. (Knowing Mike Sedlacek is a move trainer and that Erick Lopez can ride, sealed the deal). He won by open lengths. Look at the chart. Double paid $417 for $2.

At about the same time, at Churchill Downs, move horse Grinding Miss was paying off on my across the board bet in the seventh at Churchill Downs. Not being a fan of jock Orlando Mojica, I originally had crossed this horse off my plays list until I saw trainer Montgomery's outstanding 40% record when he uses him. Thanks DRF.

The move is a monster when it hits!

Friday, November 21, 2008

Reading is FUNdamental at $53

Anyone reading this blog knows that I am a fan of 'the Form.' One of it's best features is the trainer/jockey stat line, for every horse entered in a race. This info has been key to innumerable winners––Monster Move, et al.

In Aqueduct's second race, yesterday, Barefoot Babe, trained by Edward Allard was coming from Philadelphia sprints to run on the Big A turf for the first time. Jockey Rajiv Maragh (one of my favorites) was named to replace scheduled speed rider CC Lopez.

Allard is notorious for ' putting one over' when he comes to NYRA tracks.
Importantly, the j/t line showed he scores with 23% first time-turfers, and 24% dirt to turf starters--both at generous returns Additionally, in two starts the horse went off at around 4-1.

The evidence required significant wagering action. I complied.

Result: Barefoot paid $52.50 to win. A $2 daily double back-wheel returned $144 the exacta with the favorite paid $238. Across the board wagers were gravy. And, I was insured of a winning day.

All you gotta do is read.

According to the NYRA replay show, Andy Sperling gave this one out. Way to go!

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Don't listen to me..

Boom! Little things mean a lot. Like knowing what to look for in the Daily Racing Form. Congratulations to Jacqueline Davis, daughter of famed New York rider Robbie Davis for her first career win on Blue Hill Bay at 64-1, trained by move trainer Scott Everett.

And, congratulations to me, too, for noticing that the horse showed--not one-but several monster moves in her past performances. That lead me to a race in July when she won at 11-1 (off of another move). Yep, I had her--to win and in the exacta. Had she been a more noted rider, I would have had her across the board several times. (Note to self: My four contenders in the race generated a $14,000 superfecta. Make sure to take a look). But, I ain't crying.

I keep telling folks about this move being a long-shot player's dream. It's OK with me if they don't listen.

Saturday, November 1, 2008

Monster System, working wonders



Only two things surpass the excitement of your selected 93-1 shot opening up on the field in the stretch by two lengths : If the horse wins or runs second. As it is Dutch Striker held on for third, in the last race at Churchill downs, today. I was alive in the double, but happily collected multiple tickets on the $24.80 he paid to show. It was easy to do. In fact, I wrote a book about it.

In the last few weeks, several of these selections won–at monstrous odds, including Buonissimo, $69.80; Unbridled Danger. $38; Stayawaystella, $30;Executive Chief, $28.80; The Mizzus, $47; and even Fleet Valid, at a paltry $12.40. The Monster Move System is working like the 'golden goose' it is.

While, I haven't solved all of it's wonders, I have gained enough knowledge of the system to have these horses, at least, across the board. I am also developing a great deal of that elusive patience; preferring to save wagering for 'move' races.

Daily doubles, are a regular hit. It is only a matter of time before I string together pick threes using these horses as the key. No rush, though.

These opportunities happen, nearly everyday. I am taking it slow.