My pursuit of 'monster move' mastery has caused me to read DRF past performances more completely. Like most systems, it begins with evaluation of the last race a horse has run. By definition this race is always less than stellar. So, I have to dig deeper to justify a wager.For instance, the last race line for Dirty Water Dog in Aqueduct's ninth race, yesterday shows he finished 10th, nearly 20 lengths behind, as an odds-on favorite. He was claimed by trainer Chad Brown off of a win, in the race before. Closer pp investigation shows these virtues:
• 'Dirty' won 3 out of seven starts, with 1 third
• He had the second best Beyer at the distance and the surface
• His odds, before yesterday, were never longer than 5-1
• Importantly, trainer Brown won 42% when he legged up jockey Lezcano
The results? Dirty paid $14, $8.7, $6 completing a $95 daily double, catching the other move horse in the race who went off at nearly 40-1, for a $388 exacta.
The move is a monster--with benefits.
